Economists are mystified by the lack of inflation despite the Fed's $85B monthly "stimulus"

I just read an article in FloridaRealtor about a story published in USA Today on how the economists are mystified by the minimal #inflation despite the Fed's $85B monthly bond buying. 
Really? Are these so called economists actual economists or are they just news reporters claiming to have heard a rumor that economists are mystified?
Let me shed some light on this mystery. We do have inflation! With a global economy, it's just not as noticeable in some sectors. 

Where we have been impacted, marketers have done an amazing job at disguising it. 
In the movie Christmas Vacation, Chevy Chase flips off a couple crazy drivers, but hides it from his family by diverting their attention saying "Hey look kids, a deer!"
What was a 16 oz. package of hot dogs is now down to 12 oz. and the price is up about 50% from just a couple years ago. Considering both factors, inflation is over 100%! The still weird "10 pack" couldn't shrink to an "8 pack" because it would be too obvious and we would create a ruckus! They just have slimmer dogs. If you called the factory, you would probably be given a great diversion reason, like they are better for you because they have less calories and their smaller packages reduces their carbon foot print. So, it's all good! Right? 
The economy, jobs, home prices, interest rates, #AffordableCare act "Obama-care", Iran's nuclear armament and so on has been the diversion and we've all been pre-occupied to really pay much attention. 
Secondly, we haven't really felt it yet. Gold is no longer the counter balance for the US Dollar. So the affect is no longer immediate. It will take a long time to fully realize the impact this "stimulus" has given us because the US dollar is just an IOU to be paid in the future.
The $85B monthly stimulus reminds me of a concept my dad taught me when I was young. "Horsepower hours." 
You can take a small engine and get a lot of horsepower out of it, but it will result in a shortened life. Or you can demand less horsepower from it and extend it's life. Either way, the life expectancy is in direct proportion to it's output. This $85B monthly "stimulus" will have an equal but opposite negative affect.
We are digging a hole to China and when we get there, we will hand them the keys to the Whitehouse. 
Inflation is here and we ain't seen nothing yet.
Stop the bond buying! Get fiscally responsible and Lord, heal our land.


Curtis Rudolph Realtor®
813.240.6054 cell/text
http://homesforsaleinsouthtampa.com/
https://www.facebook.com/SouthTampaLuxuryPropertieshttps://twitter.com/Curtis_RealtorRealty Direct Tampa

Uncle Ben Bernanke speaks and...

Uncle #BenBernanke (the Fed) spoke again Tuesday and he said to keep the #bondbuying at full steam! This is horrible news for home sellers because it put #homebuyers in the drivers seat. And it is horrible news for our long term economy as it is digging our debt hole even deeper, which results in #hyperinflation.

What to expect is #mortgage interest rates should continue to slide down. Add that to human emotion (not common sense) and buyers will hold out waiting for the bottom which reduces the demand. With home purchasing demand down, inventories of existing and new homes will rise. So, expect home prices to slide too.

*Now Listen to me!!!!!!!  Call me Paul Revere as long as you will listen.
Common sense says... Need a home? Buy a home now. Prices are low and it's a buyers market! Interest rates are low too! So, buy now!

If you are planning on #buyingahome and you are thinking you'll wait for the bottom. Don't!! It will change without warning and you won't have time to grab it. Home prices and interest rates are in a dip. The last dip before the rocket launches!!! Last March and April was a sample of what to expect. Rates jumped 1% and house prices jumped 10% and in less than 30 days!

If you are financing this home purchase, do it now! Rates could drop a quarter of a percent, but when the bond buying stops, and it will, the rates will jump by at least a half percent or more then climb until you can't afford a home. You'll be talking about the home you could have bought, because you thought you could beat the odds of about 27,600,000 to 1!

This is what you are risking by holding out.
$250k mortgage at current rate is $1244 mo
$250k mortgage at current rate minus 1/4% $1208 mo (gambling by waiting for the bottom)
$250k mortgage at current rate plus 1/2% $1356 mo (gambling 1 day too long)
This is not considering the 10% price increase we also saw. If history repeats itself, it would look more like this..
$275k mortgage at current rate plus 1/2% $1493!
So you are gambling to save $36 month at the risk of loosing $249 month! Over 30 years, that's only an $89,640 mistake!
It's not gambling, it's #Russianroulette!!

If you are paying cash for a home, do it now! It's still a buyers market.

Whether your are paying cash or financing, now is the time. Stop playing Russian Roulette!!
Call me now and let's get to work!

Thank you
#CurtisRudolphRealtor®
813.240.6054 cell/text
http://CurtisRudolphRealtor.com/
https://www.facebook.com/SouthTampaLuxuryProperties
http://curtisrudolphrealtor.blogspot.com/
Realty Direct Tampa

*Note: Do not buy because I said so. Always consult a financial adviser when considering real estate as an investment. We live in an imperfect world, where do-do happens.

Is Zillow® like The Roadrunner and Wile E. Coyote?

Zillow® is an amazing real estate tool! It is user friendly, it is extremely informational, it is easy on the eyes, and there appears to be an infinite number of listings. But, I've always wondered why Zillow® listings are so jacked up. Zillow® has so many listings that are non-existent, expired, rented or sold. Is it Zillow's® fault?

I believe I may have found the answer. These listings may be The Roadrunner and if you are looking, you are Wile E Coyote!

A couple days ago I received a group of condo's to check out on behalf of my client. We have been working together on finding he, his wife and son the perfect condo for a couple month's, and it's down to decision time. He sent me about 18 addresses he found on Zillow®. Most we had already seen before and I had some in his maybe file, but a couple were new and only on Zillow®.

After going over his list of condo's for rent, I noticed something. About half were on Zillow® only. The other half were on both Zillow® and the MLS®. I also noticed, 8 out of 10 Zillow® only listings, were listed with a Realtor®, yet I couldn't find them on the MLS®. There was 2 listed by the owners of the properties and not with a Realtor®.

I wondered why 8 were on Zillow® with a Realtor® and why they were not on the MLS® too?

I researched the Zillow® only listings first. What I noticed is the 8 condo's that were on Zillow® and not on the MLS® were either expired, rented or sold. The 2 listings by the owners and all the MLS® listings, were truly available for lease. 

So you say, "Whatever, they just didn't get removed yet". Great answer! Seems logical, but some of them were "just listed"! 

Is Zillow's® computers randomly doing this to make Zillow® look like a larger data base?

Which of these 2 causes are most logical? 

1. Computers make up data 

2. People sometimes input data incorrectly.

If you choose #1, please turn off your computer. You don't deserve to own one! 

Let's consider #2. After completing a rental or sale, could someone accidentally input the entire listing over again by accident? If you say yes, please turn off your computer. You don't deserve one! 

So, why would there be so many freshly posted listings put into the Zillow® system that are expired, leased or sold?

                         I'll use a quote from Rush Limbaugh. "Follow the money".

The MLS® system is heavily regulated. The data must be entered correctly and timely. If an error is discovered or a property goes under contract, the MLS® has this very strict protocol. If an error is found or change in status is needed, and it is not corrected extremely fast, the listing agent will receive a fine. If the request is not followed, or it happens several times, the Realtor® could loose access to the MLS®

Zillow® has you check a box that says you agree that the listing is real and does not have such strict adherence requirements.

Consider, if you owned a property and you sold it, wouldn't you want to remove the listing, so that you wouldn't have to keep answering the phone and explaining it's sold? Would a real estate agent feel the same way?

Earlier I mentioned, some of these sold, expired or leased listings were "just listed"! Is it just a coincidence, that these "just listed" listings were at popular condo's and priced below market too?

I'm not pointing any fingers, but I feel that Zillow® might be being used for the classic "bait and switch"! For a real estate agent, this may be considered acceptable. But for a Realtor®, this is forbidden. We are to hold to a set of standards that rise above this deceptive practice and hold to the highest standard of integrity. 

This situation is causing consumer anxiety. Buyers come to me exasperated, saying they just keep missing the greatest deal. The "greatest deal" was the Roadrunner and you are Wile E. Coyote! Wile E. never gets the bird. Quit being Wile E. Coyote! Hire a Realtor®!

If you are in the market to buy, lease or sell a property, seek the help of a Realtor® like me!

Let's get to work!

Curtis Rudolph Realtor®

www.CurtisRudolphRealtor.com

www.Facebook.com/SouthTampaLuxuryProperties

Realty Direct Tampa

Was the "Great recession" the final nail in the middle class coffin?

Mortgage interest rates are dropping, as predicted. But I'm not seeing home prices do the same. What's up?
Is it because...
1) the government shut down?
2) Is it all the housing lift programs are creating artificial value?
3) Is it people are not hungry enough?
4) Or, is it the final nail in the redistribution of wealth, also known as, our disappearing middle class?
1* It's too early to know if it relates to the government shut down, so let's eliminate that.
2a Is the non-existent housing price drop due to all the lift programs?
Let's relate the housing industry to the car industry. Example: Hybrid and Electric cars. The government put's up cash as an incentive to buy these green vehicles. The manufacturers, raise the selling prices, because the psychology is like a coupon. It's perceived as free money, which creates demand. The artificial demand allows the price of the car to go up.
2b So, where did the money come from and where did it go?
The incentive money came from all of us, the tax payers and the money went to the manufacturers. The manufacturers use the added revenue to celebrate their success and give bonus' to the top wage earners for their accomplishment. (Did you notice the prices of these vehicles are not going down?)
3a Is the non-existent housing price drop due to sellers not being hungry enough?
Let's relate this to the bank bail outs. Banks make stupid loans and our government gets mad at the banks and gives them the cash to take care of any shortages.
3b So, where did the money come from, for the bail out and where did the money go?
The money came from us, the tax payers and the money went to the banks. The banks use the money to buy back the foreclosed houses at a reduced rate, of course. They restructure the banks due to the changes in revenue and give big bonus' to the top executives for reducing costs!
4* Is it the next step in the redistribution of wealth?
Absolutely it is a sign of the redistribution of wealth!
The tax paying middle class was removed from their homes and these homes got sold to the wealthy.
During these years of "The great recession", only the middle class was hurt. The rich gobbled up all the houses from the middle class as they lost their jobs. The middle class is now renting from the upper class, as they now own nearly all the houses.
As the middle class attempts to step out of renting and get back into buying again, the rich hold all the houses. Do you remember the game Monopoly®? Who won? Those who owned the houses and hotels. The wealthy don't need the money, so they sit on the house or rent it out until someone is willing to pay them, what they want.
In my opinion, we have a short window of time to keep middle class alive. Take advantage of this these incredibly low interest rates and buy a home now. I don't see an opportunity like this in our lifetimes. If we loose middle class, we all lose. The bible says, The borrower is slave to the lender!
Come on middle class, Let's get to work!
Curtis Rudolph
www.CurtisRudolphRealtor.com
www.Facebook.com/SouthTampaLuxuryProperties
Realty Direct Tampa
Note: I am not a financial advisor, just a Realtor®. Never make a decision to buy a home without seeking the advice of your financial consultant.

Tampa Real Estate condo owner sues City of Tampa for...

I just read an article written by Richard Danielson, from the Tampa Bay Times of a condo owner at Skypoint who is allegedly suing the City of Tampa for allowing growth. The article says the claimant's view will be disrupted by a new planned downtown tower.
I realize you can sue anyone for any reason, but for growth?
As I understand it, the new Residences at the Riverwalk development will allegedly block his view of the river. This new 400 foot tall tower is planned to be built next to the David A. Straz Jr. Center for the Performing Arts near the corner of Tyler and Cass Street downtown. The claimant says the new tower will be 600 feet from his window.
Can one man stop the wheels of Tampa's progress to being the great city she can be? Isn't the view of the downtown buildings one of the attractions to these high rise towers? I'm currently working with 3 buyers for this area. One wants water view, one wants skyline and the other wants both. I don't see the new tower affecting the condo's value, possibly improve it. More residences, creates more life, which creates more demand, which creates higher property values.
The area just to the north of Interstate 275 on the Hillsborough River, across from Howard W. Blake High School is yet another area that is slated for new development. Can we expect more complaints to block this  progress too?
All major cities have downtown life beyond 8am to 5pm, Monday through Friday. Tampa's downtown area has been dormant for years. The Franklin Street Mall was one of those attempts from yesteryear to give dowtown, life beyond weekdays.
With all the new residences in Channelside, Harbor Island and throughout the downtown area, the city is creeping back, to the glitz and glamour it once had back in early days when trolley cars moved the masses to Maas Brothers, Wolf Brothers and Wool Co.
The Residences at the Riverwalk project does not have a planned start date at the moment, but will not begin before June 2014.
Will the claimant succeed? Will he be paid to be quiet? Will this wake up more claimants and send this and other projects to Tampa tried file?
Come on Tampa! Speak up and let's get to work!
Curtis Rudolph Realtor®
www.CurtisRudolphRealtor.com
www.Facebook.com/SouthTampaLuxuryProperties
Realty Direct Tampa

Mortgage interest rates drop along with home values...

The move made by Ben Bernanke a couple of weeks ago to keep the bond buying going caused home values and interest rates both to drop. This recent action taken by the Fed to continue the bond buying will cause supply and demand to regain balance.

This move will give the average home buyer an opportunity of a life time to buy a home at a historically low interest rate and price.

In a normal economy, lowering interest rates, stimulates buying. However, mortgage interest rates have been so low for so long, it created home stagnation, which perpetuated all the toxic loans. No one was buying homes, waiting for the bottom in home values and the bottom in mortgage interest rates. This allowed the inventories of homes to exceed demand, resulting in prices dropping to these historic lows.                 .  

I think the Fed realized the negative impact they made last spring, on our weak economy. Just the mere mention they were considering haulting the bond buying program created mass hysteria. Fed bond buying is a way to put cash in the public hands to spend, in essence to boost our capitalistic economy. The dark side of this procedure is inflation. Every dollar printed and put into our economy divides the value of each dollar.

Though I believe the Fed made a wrong decision, I embarrassingly, welcome it. The notable mention of haulting the bond buying, caused interest rates to spike up around 1%! This caused a real estate buying frenzy that mirrored the likes of a shark in blood infested waters. Prices were entered into the MLS like an auction opening bid and homes were selling well above asking price in a day or two. The average home buyer was kicked to the side as institutional buyers came out of every crack and crevice and dumped billions of dollars in cash into real estate, gobbling up supply. When demand for homes exceeded supply, home values jumped. According to the NAR, 12% in July alone and 20% up from only a year ago!

Don't read me wrong, the QE3 bond buying needs to stop, or we'll have inflation that will give us third world status. But the change should be slowly phased in so that middle class Americans can bite off a piece of the American Dream pie and grab some of the quantum leap equity that only those willing to take the chance now will enjoy.

If you are in the market to buy a home at a historically low price and interest rate, now is the time! When the free money ends, there will be no turning back.

Curtis Rudolph Realtor®
www.CurtisRudolphRealtor.com
www.Facebook.com/SouthTampaLuxuryProperties
Realty Direct Tampa

Note: Please consult your financial adviser before considering real estate as an investment.

Flood insurance rate hike causes massive beach home...

The new flood insurance law goes into affect October 1 unless there is an 11th hour stay of execution. Signed in 2012 was the Flood Insurance Reform Act. This law eliminated the government subsidies put in place to make flood insurance more affordable. 

The media says the new law will drive beach home prices up!

What?

How does the increase in flood insurance premiums of an estimated ten fold, drive up home values?

What I do see is the little Ma and Pa beach cottages and houses, that line our beautiful Florida beaches will go bankrupt. And the investment heavy, high rise motels and hotels will have a monopoly for beach tourism and pass the new hefty profit bill to you!

I am advocate for smaller government and let the free markets be free, but this type of change should have been better planned. It's like being rear ended by a car doing 100 mph and you are only doing 10. This is a serious accident.

Just saying!

Curtis Rudolph Realtor®

www.CurtisRudolphRealtor.com

www.Facebook.com/SouthTampaLuxuryProperties

Realty Direct Tampa